Points Projection Calculator
Estimate fantasy points from projected real-world statistics. Select a position, enter stat projections, and see weekly and season-long fantasy point totals in standard, half-PPR, or full-PPR scoring.
Settings
Passing Stats (per game)
Rushing Stats (per game)
Receiving Stats (per game)
Kicking Stats (per game)
How This Calculator Works
This calculator converts projected real-world NFL statistics into fantasy points using position-specific scoring formulas. The exact formulas used for each position are:
| Stat Category | Points Per Unit | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Passing Yards | 0.04 per yard | Yards ÷ 25 = points |
| Passing Touchdowns | 4 per TD | TDs × 4 |
| Interceptions | −2 per INT | INTs × (−2) |
| Rushing Yards | 0.1 per yard | Yards ÷ 10 = points |
| Rushing Touchdowns | 6 per TD | TDs × 6 |
| Receptions (PPR) | 1.0 / 0.5 / 0 | Receptions × PPR value |
| Receiving Yards | 0.1 per yard | Yards ÷ 10 = points |
| Receiving Touchdowns | 6 per TD | TDs × 6 |
| Field Goals Made | 3 per FG | FGs × 3 |
| 50+ Yard Field Goals | +2 bonus | Long FGs × 2 (added to base 3) |
| Extra Points Made | 1 per XP | XPs × 1 |
The calculator computes Weekly Points = sum of all applicable stat × point values, then
Season Total = Weekly Points × Number of Weeks. The tier classification compares your projected
points-per-game against historical positional thresholds (e.g., 20+ PPG for an elite QB1, 15+ for an elite RB1 in standard).
The three scoring formats differ only in the reception bonus: Standard (0 points per catch), Half-PPR (0.5), and Full-PPR (1.0). This single difference significantly reshapes positional value — high-volume pass catchers gain 5–10 additional points per game in full PPR compared to standard scoring.
References & Methodology
- ESPN Fantasy Football Scoring — Standard scoring system used as the baseline for this calculator. Passing yards at 1 point per 25 yards, rushing/receiving at 1 point per 10 yards, and standard touchdown values are the ESPN/Yahoo/NFL.com defaults.
- Yahoo Fantasy Sports — Half-PPR and Full-PPR scoring rules. Yahoo popularized the half-PPR format that has become the most common competitive fantasy scoring system.
- FantasyPros Consensus Projections — Aggregated stat projections from 20+ analysts. Using consensus (average of multiple sources) has been shown to outperform any individual projection source. fantasypros.com
- Football Outsiders (FO) — Advanced NFL statistics and projection methodologies including DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) that inform stat-based fantasy projections.
- Berry, M. (2015) — Fantasy Life. ESPN Senior Fantasy Analyst's guide to projection methodologies and how scoring format changes positional value rankings.
Fantasy Scoring Breakdown
Standard fantasy football scoring awards points as follows: passing yards (0.04 per yard, or 1 point per 25 yards), passing touchdowns (4 points), interceptions (-2 points), rushing and receiving yards (0.1 per yard, or 1 point per 10 yards), and rushing/receiving touchdowns (6 points). PPR formats add 1 point (or 0.5 in half-PPR) per reception.
How Scoring Format Changes Rankings
- Standard: Favors volume rushers and touchdown-dependent players. RBs dominate early rounds.
- Half PPR: The most balanced format. Pass-catching RBs and high-target WRs gain value.
- Full PPR: Elevates high-volume receivers significantly. WRs become more valuable than RBs overall.
Frequently Asked Questions
Where do I get stat projections?
Sites like ESPN, Yahoo, FantasyPros, and Football Outsiders publish weekly and season-long stat projections. Using consensus (average of multiple sources) tends to be more accurate than any single projector.
How accurate are fantasy projections?
Even the best projections have significant variance week-to-week. Season-long projections are more reliable, typically within 15-20% of actual production for established starters. Projections are most useful for comparing players, not predicting exact point totals.